![]() MA: This did not happen to the white and Asian students that he was following who got rejected from that top, super-selective tier of colleges. MA: His second finding looked at the long-run implications of all this shifting around.īLEEMER: If you follow these students forward into the labor market, the typical student who, because of the end of affirmative action, had a little bit less access to more selective universities, ended up earning about 5% less than they would have earned if they'd had access to more selective universities through race-based affirmative action. White and Asian students, meanwhile, on average, get to go to slightly more-selective schools, taking the slots of these Black and Hispanic students who had lost access to those places. ![]() ZACH BLEEMER: Affirmative action ends, and Black, Hispanic and Native American students, on average, go to slightly less-selective schools. First, he found the immediate effect of ending affirmative action was a huge drop in the number of underrepresented minority students attending the most selective public universities. And it came away with three main findings. So he looked at a whole bunch of anonymized data about two groups of students - those who applied to college before the ban and those who applied after. And for him, California's ban on affirmative action in public universities offered up a gold mine for research. Adrian Ma from our daily economics podcast, The Indicator, explains.ĪDRIAN MA, BYLINE: Zach Bleemer is an economist at Yale who studies college admissions. California banned affirmative action in public universities back in 1996. If the policy is struck down nationwide, California offers some clues about how that might affect students and their future earnings. Supreme Court is expected to rule soon on affirmative action in college admissions.
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